Poland’s new draft energy plan would cut coal, boost renewable electricity generation

first_imgPoland’s new draft energy plan would cut coal, boost renewable electricity generation FacebookTwitterLinkedInEmailPrint分享S&P Global Market Intelligence ($):Poland plans to reduce coal’s share in its generation mix from 80% to between 56% and 60% in 2030, and raise the share of renewables to 21% to 23%, the Ministry of Energy said Nov. 8. The 2030 targets form part of a revised draft Polish Energy Policy to 2040, or PEP 2040, that the ministry originally published in November 2018 and has subsequently updated.The new draft “takes into account many of the [public consultation] comments made and its priority is to preserve the evolutionary nature of the transformation of the Polish energy sector so that it operates in a safe way for people and the economy,” Energy Minister Krzysztof Tchorzewski said. Tchorzewski told the state news agency the estimated total cost for transforming the energy sector was €140 billion.The biggest change to the revised draft is the decision to withdraw from a phaseout of onshore wind capacity. Last year’s draft policy had installed onshore wind capacity falling from a high of 7 GW in 2025 to just 0.8 GW in 2040. The revised draft forecasts capacity reaching a high of 9.497 GW in 2020 and increasing slightly to 9.761 GW in 2040.Wider renewable energy growth is to be achieved through the rapidly developing solar PV market and the construction of the first offshore wind farms in the Polish part of the Baltic Sea. However, both capacity estimates for 2040 have been revised downwards, PV from 20 GW to 16 GW and offshore wind from 10 GW to 8 GW.The revised policy estimates the share of renewables in energy consumption could reach 32% by 2040 if energy storage is developed and more gas-fired capacity is built.The ministry expects to reach a lower share of coal mainly through phasing out lignite-fired plants, with open pit resources scheduled to be largely exhausted by 2040. The new draft foresees lignite capacity falling more slowly, from 8.64 GW to 3.4 GW in 2040, instead of 1.5 GW. Similarly, existing and planned new hard coal capacity is expected to fall from a high of 15.6 GW in 2020 to 7.63 GW in 2040, instead of 6.7 GW as envisaged in the previous draft.More ($): A way back for onshore wind as Poland revises draft energy policy to 2040last_img

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